fade-leftfade-right2018 Bradley Turn Dates for the S&P 500

4Q 2018 Declinations Turn Dates

October 27 (37/100 Declinations Power) & December 5 (36/100 Declinations Power)

See below for the 2018 Bradley Siderograph Turn Dates, which are in green.  The Bradley Turn Dates for the three elements that compose the Bradley Siderograph are also listed below (i.e., for the Middle Terms, Long Terms, and Declinations).

This introductory video provides an overview of the Bradley Turn Dates, which could be useful if you are new to the Bradley Siderograph indicator.

Turn Dates for other years: 2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   2016   2017   2019   2020

Bradley Siderograph Turn Dates for 2018

  • January 4 (21/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • January 17 (100/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • June 1 (100/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)

Long Terms Turn Dates for 2018

  • February 20 (61/100 Long Terms Power)
  • June 9 (29/100 Long Terms Power)
  • July 14 (27/100 Long Terms Power)
  • August 28 (100/100 Long Terms Power)

Middle Terms Turn Dates for 2018

  • January 5 (100/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • March 27 (42/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • May 17 (40/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • June 26 (100/100 Middle Terms Power)

Declinations Turn Dates for 2018

  • January 10 (100/100 Declinations Power)
  • June 10 (100/100 Declinations Power)
  • October 27 (37/100 Declinations Power)
  • December 5 (36/100 Declinations Power)

All Turn Dates for 2018

  • January 4 (21/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • January 5 (100/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • January 10 (100/100 Declinations Power)
  • January 17 (100/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • February 20 (61/100 Long Terms Power)
  • March 27 (42/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • May 17 (40/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • June 1 (100/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • June 9 (29/100 Long Terms Power)
  • June 10 (100/100 Declinations Power)
  • June 26 (100/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • July 14 (27/100 Long Terms Power)
  • August 28 (100/100 Long Terms Power)
  • October 27 (37/100 Declinations Power)
  • December 5 (36/100 Declinations Power)

The content of this web site is for educational and entertainment purposes only and you should not make any investment or trading decisions based on any information contained on this web site. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

29 responses to “2018 Turn Dates S&P 500”

  1. Keith D Moore says:

    Since we are in a uptrend now, The turn on 8-28-18 would be a change in that trend? Then the turn in Sept might be a st bottom? Please give your general thoughts on this.

    • Hi Keith,

      As you noted, the S&P 500 has clearly been an an uptrend increasing to an all time high on August 27, the day before the Long Terms Turn Date of with a power of 100/100.

      I just looked at the return of the S&P 500 in the 60 days leading up to Long Terms Turn Dates with a Power of 100/100 from 1950 through the present. There were 73 of these Turn Dates during this time period. What I found is that the movement of the S&P 500 in the 60 days leading up to the Aug 28, 2018 Turn Date looks very similar to what we saw in the 60 days before the Long Terms Turn Dates with a Power of 100/100 for 8 historical 100/100 Power Long Terms Turn Dates.

      See below for the correlation between the S&P 500 in the 60 days leading up to the Aug 28, 2018 Turn Date and the S&P 500 in the 60 days leading up to eight historical 100/100 Power Long Terms Turn Dates.
      3/6/1985: 91.9%
      7/17/1995: 87.8%
      12/4/2002: 89.6%
      12/28/2005: 87.5%
      3/6/2012: 89.1%
      7/14/2014: 92.0%
      12/9/2014: 90.9%
      3/20/2017: 85.5%

      For these 8 historical dates, 5 calendar days after the Turn Date the average (mean) return in the S&P 500 was -1.02%.

      For more than half of these Turn Dates the S&P 500 was down relative to the Turn Date price between 15 and 35 days after the Turn Date

      Past performance is no guarantee of future results, but I hope you found this to be helpful.

      Regards,
      Matt

  2. Rao says:

    Matt,

    Middle term graph link you posted above on June 3 is going only up to early June.Coming July 14th middle term turn,Do you think up or down?

    Thanks for your help,
    RP

    • Hi Rao,

      Thanks for your comment. The Turn Date you are referring to appears to be the June 26, 2018 Middle Terms Turn Date with a power of 100/100. At approximately the same time as this Turn Date took place we saw a minor pullback, followed by a recovery. However, it doesn’t appear there has been a material change in trend in the S&P 500 since that time.

      Right now I’m focusing on the Long Terms Turn Date with a power of 100/100 on August 28th with respect to a longer-term change in trend. The Long Terms are obviously more focused on longer-term changes in trend as compared to the Middle Terms’ focus on changes in trend over a shorter time horizon.

      Thanks,
      Matt

  3. Richard Medlock says:

    Request to be on your mailing list.

    Thank you.

  4. c. m. says:

    if 6/1 was 100% and was a minor move in an uptrend what makes you feel strongly that 8/28 is a major top?

  5. c. m. saks says:

    I would like to be included in you’re email et.
    cm.

  6. Branon says:

    Ok, so the turn dates are the same regardless of the market because they’re based on the planetary rotations, right?

    In other words, you don’t need separate charts for each market that you follow, because all the dates are the same. However, expect each market to react to the turn date on its own.

    In other words, since June 26 is a 100/100 Middle Terms Power date, Gold may go from up to down on/around June 26 while the S&P may go from down to up on/around June 26 and the Crude could go from up to sideways on/around June 26 (hypothetically speaking for example purposes not looking at current trends).

    Over-simplifying, it could be said that you’re basically pegging sector rotation dates. Or am I off-base here?

    It would be very interesting to see the S&P, Gold, VIX, BTC, and Crude charts overlaid with the Bradley Turn Dates for the last 5 years or so just to backtest the theory.

    Interesting information overall, thank you for sharing! I will certainly keep my eyes open on 6/26, 7/14, 8/28,10/27, and 12/5 to see how it plays out this year.

    • Hi Branon,

      That’s correct. In his book Stock Market Prediction, Donald Bradley outlined a formula for gauging market sentiment. This formula does not take into account the attributes of any specific security.

      Therefore, the “classic” version of the Bradley Siderograph has only one set of Turn Dates, which would be the same for all securities.

      Regards,
      Matt

  7. Audrey says:

    Hi Matt,
    We had a drop in the S&P to about 2676 on May 29th, just a few days before the turn date of June 1. Can I interpret that as the low going forward with the market top on August 28th?
    I’m basing this on the 70+% correction you mentioned in the latest video that was emailed.
    Or am I way off base here.
    Thanks!

    • Hi Audrey,

      The analysis you included in your comment is a reasonable interpretation of the June 1st Turn Date.

      In addition to the June 1st Turn Date coinciding with a top in the S&P 500, it could alternatively coincide with a plateau.

      For example, the Bradley Siderograph Turn Date with a Power of 100/100 in early July 2016 coincided with the S&P 500 reaching a temporary plateau. Before this date the S&P 500 was increasing at a relatively rapid rate, but shortly after this Turn Date the S&P 500 remained range bound for several months until shortly before the 100/100 Power Bradley Siderograph Turn Date in late November 2016.
      https://bradleysiderograph.com/2016-turn-dates-sp500/

      Thanks for your comment.

      Regards,
      Matt

  8. RP says:

    Hi Matt,

    In the above middle terms graph,there is turn in July and no date is listed (only June turn date is listed).What is the estimated date of turn in July? Thanks for your help.

  9. Ho says:

    Matt,
    Wow I agree ! Never knew Middle term could be so powerful.
    I Guess it must be nearer to us as you said in the video if I understand correctly .
    Looks like bottom around 26 th June area….

  10. Ho says:

    Matt,

    This is my first time posting and I read your site.
    As you said the dates seem very high correlation and I watched June 1 .
    It seems that everything is peaking on this date .

    Pls let me know your thoughts

  11. Ramesh says:

    Dear Matt,

    Thanks a lot and look forward to receiving your updates by email which have registered. Appreciate your input as always.

    Noted on June 1, 2018 Bradley Siderograph Turn Date. Keeping a close eye on that.

    Kind regards

    Ramesh

  12. Ramesh says:

    Hi Matt, How should we read between the three:

    March 27 (42/100 Middle Terms Power)
    May 17 (40/100 Middle Terms Power)
    June 1 (100/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)

    Also do you do a daily update on the Graphs? If so which website should I see it. Thanks.

    Kind regards

    Ramesh

    • Hi Ramesh,

      The Middle Terms are intended to reflect shorter term market movements, whereas the Long Terms and the Bradley Siderograph itself are intended to cover longer term market movements.

      Donald Bradley described this as follows, “The long-range movement of the averages is known as the primary trend. The primary trend is comparable to our own principle of the Long Terms. The intermediate movement of the averages is called a secondary reaction. Secondary reactions are suggestive of our theoretic Middle Terms.”

      Therefore, I personally would focus more on the June 1, 2018 Bradley Siderograph Turn Date with a Bradley Bars power of 100/100 between the three dates you mentioned. The other two Middle Terms Turn Dates correspond instead to shorter-term market movements.

      I typically update the graphs on the site a few times a year, and I will likely update them within the next few days. However, I have an idea that could be a great solution if you want to use graphs that are updated more frequently. If you want to be on the email I send out in a few days with this solution I encourage you to sign up for the free Bradley Siderograph email updates. To sign up go to the main page of the site (i.e., https://bradleysiderograph.com) and enter your email address on the sign-up form, which is typically located on the right sidebar.

      Matt

  13. Ramesh says:

    What is the significance of this March 27 (42/100 Middle Terms Power). Does it mean this is the mid term bottom??

    • Hi Ramesh,

      That’s exactly right. On March 27th the Middle Terms reach a bottom. The value of “42/100” represents the significance of this bottom.

      The Turn Date Power (e.g., “42/100”) is intended to be a more precise way of identifying Turn Dates. However, many people who leverage the Bradley Siderograph place equal weight on all Turn Dates.

      Thanks for your comment.

      Matt

  14. Tony says:

    Where did I read that January 29th was a major Bradley Turn date? I even jotted it down. Mistake somewhere?

    • Hi Tony,

      When I first created the site I had not yet developed the Turn Date power concept that calculates Turn Dates mathematically rather than by using judgment and “eyeballing it.” Therefore, you may have seen an earlier version that still used the judgmental version. See below for a link to the “old” judgmental for another year for an example of what the previous version looked like:
      https://bradleysiderograph.com/2020-turn-dates-sp500/

      At the end of January 2018 the Bradley Siderograph starts to increase significantly after being in a holding pattern for a couple of months. It’s possible that this is what could have contributed to my judgmental assessment of a Turn Date at that time.

      Regards,
      Matt

  15. Jack Cahn says:

    nice work young man,

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