Bradley Siderograph 2016 Turn Dates – S&P 500 91


See below for the 2016 Bradley Siderograph Turn Dates, which are in green.  The Bradley Turn Dates for the three elements that compose the Bradley Siderograph are also listed below (i.e., for the Middle Terms, Long Terms, and Declinations).  See this introductory video for an additional explanation if you are new to the Bradley Siderograph indicator.

S&P 500 Turn Dates for 2010-2020

2016 Bradley Bars Turn Dates for the S&P 500 (Bradley Siderograph)

  • January 5 (0/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • May 10 (36/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • June 1 (49/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • July 5 (100/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • September 28 (32/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • November 29 (100/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)

 

2016-sp-500-bradley-siderograph-turn-dates-2016-10-18

2016 Bradley Bars Turn Dates for the S&P 500 (Long Terms)

  • February 1 (0/100 Long Terms Power)
  • May 25 (100/100 Long Terms Power)
  • August 5 (0/100 Long Terms Power)
  • November 28 (86/100 Long Terms Power)
  • March 21, 2017 (100/100 Power)

2016-sp-500-long-terms-turn-dates-2016-10-18

 

2016 Bradley Bars Turn Dates for the S&P 500 (Middle Terms)

  • February 6 (60/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • March 11 (52/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • May 11 (47/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • June 4 (47/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • July 5 (51/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • August 8 (60/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • October 19 (42/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • December 28 (50/100 Middle Terms Power)

2016-sp-500-middle-turn-dates-2016-10-18

 

2016 Bradley Bars Turn Dates for the S&P 500 (Declinations)

  • February 3 (100/100 Declinations Power)
  • July 1 (100/100 Declinations Power)
  • November 26 (100/100 Declinations Power)

2016-sp-500-declinations-dates-2016-10-18

 

All 2016 Turn Dates for the S&P 500

See below for the Bradley Turn Dates for the Bradley Siderograph and the three elements that make up the Bradley Siderograph, including the Long Terms, Middle Terms, and Declinations.

  • January 5 (0/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • February 1 (0/100 Long Terms Power)
  • February 3 (100/100 Declinations Power)
  • February 6 (60/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • March 11 (52/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • May 10 (36/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • May 11 (47/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • May 25 (100/100 Long Terms Power)
  • June 1 (49/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • June 4 (47/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • July 1 (100/100 Declinations Power)
  • July 5 (100/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • July 5 (51/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • August 5 (0/100 Long Terms Power)
  • August 8 (60/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • September 28 (32/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • October 19 (42/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • November 26 (100/100 Declinations Power)
  • November 28 (86/100 Long Terms Power)
  • November 29 (100/100 Bradley Siderograph Power)
  • December 28 (50/100 Middle Terms Power)
  • March 21, 2017 (100/100 Power)

2016-sp-500-turn-dates-2016-10-18

 

Analysis of the 2016 Bradley Turn Dates for the S&P 500

See below for the potentially most powerful Turn Dates for 2016:

  • February 1-6 — There are nearly simultaneous turns in the Middle Terms, Long Terms, and Declinations during the first week in February 2016.
  • May 25 — The last few Long Terms Turn Dates performed very well, so this low in the Middle Terms index for the year could coincide with a turn in the market.
  • July 1-5 — During the first week in July there are turns in the Bradley Siderograph, the Declinations, and the Middle Terms.  This time period also marks the high for the year for the Declinations and the Bradley Siderograph.
  • November 26-29 – There are turns in the Bradley Siderograph as well as turns in the Declinations and the Long Terms.  Also, this time period corresponds to the low in the Bradley Siderograph and the Declinations for the year.

 

Long Term View of the S&P 500 and the Bradley Siderograph

S&P 500 and the Bradley Siderograph 2015-2020 Small

 

 

Background on Financial Astrology and New Bradley Bars Dashboard 2.0

Discover the “why” behind financial astrology, learn more about the Bradley Siderograph indicator, and check out new groundbreaking tools included in the Bradley Bars Dashboard 2.0

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Click here to learn more about the Bradley Bars Dashboard 2.0.

 

 

S&P 500 Turn Dates for 2010-2020

 

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.  The content of this web site is for educational and entertainment purposes only and you should not make any investment or trading decisions based on any information contained on this web site.


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91 thoughts on “Bradley Siderograph 2016 Turn Dates – S&P 500

  • sérieux

    Ihave to thank you for the effoirts you’ve put in penning
    this blog. I’m hoping to see the same high-grade content from yyou
    later on as well. In fact, your creative writing abilities has inspired me to get
    my own, persoonal blog now 😉

      • Bradley Siderograph

        Hi Gary,

        Thanks for your comments. You’re right that we’ve recently seen some weakness in the S&P 500. When we take a step back and look at the S&P 500 from a longer term perspective (e.g., since early November 2016), this recent market weakness is relatively modest relative to the significant rally in the S&P 500 over the last couple of months. It is very common for trends to continue (e.g., a continuation of the rally in the S&P 500), so it’s definitely possible the market could keep going up from here. That being said, from a Turn Date perspective the January 18 Turn Date might be more likely to be a top than a bottom (e.g., similar to the Middle Terms Turn Date of 53/100 on May 24, 2015, which took place after significant gains in the S&P 500). Thanks again for your comment, and for a more in depth response you can see my response to a similar comment on the 2017 page.

        Regards,
        Matt

  • Robert

    Great work. Question: The list of All 2016 turn dates includes a March 21 100/100 power turn date, yet if you look at the 2017 model stand alone it has turn dates on Jan 28, Feb 28 and April 13. How does that work?

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Robert,

      Thanks for asking. At first all Turn Dates were determined judgmentally. Then I developed the Bradley Bars, which were an improvement over the previously judgmental methodology. An example of the initial Bradley Bars Turn Dates would include the March 21, 2017 date that you referred to in your comment above.

      However, I noticed that the Bradley Bars were not as precise as they could be. For example, under the legacy Bradley Bars methodology January 5, 2016 is not classified as a Turn Date. Therefore, in November 2016 I developed a revised methodology for determining Turn Dates that does a better job of capturing Turn Dates. The first few Turn Dates in 2017 under the new methodology would be Jan 18, January 30, March 20, April 3, etc.

      https://bradleysiderograph.com/2017-turn-dates-sp500/

      Regards,
      Matt

  • Gary Lurz

    Matt with this cluster of turndates it now appears to be a trend change.With 1st half of Dec histoically flat do you think this would trend lower into 2nd half of Dec into Dec 28 turn

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Gary,

      If we take a look at the S&P 500 and the Bradley Siderograph for 2016, overall the Bradley Siderograph has been “early.” For example, the Bradley Siderograph bottomed in early January, whereas it took about another month and a half for the S&P 500 to bottom in mid-February. The Bradley Siderograph reached its top for the year in early July, but it took another month and a half for the S&P 500 to start declining after reaching its top for the year.

      If this trend continues, the low in the Bradley Siderograph in late November could also be experienced a month or so after the fact (i.e., with a decline in the S&P 500 following the post-election bounce we have been experiencing).

      Regards,
      Matt

  • Jack C

    Thanks Matt, I am an option trader and as you know the time factor is critical in being successful. I pay little attention to fundamentals because I learned a long time ago that technical’s really are the real time fundamentals. I have great faith in the Bradley model.
    I want to say this market is the most overbought since 87 when I stared trading. (Interest rates ranged between 8-9%). I want to point to some facts.
    1. Interest rates are near 0 for more than 7 years.
    2. Fed’s have been buying Gov. Debt to the tune of over 4 trillion.
    3. Companies have been buying back stock to the tune of nearly 4 trillion.
    4. The reported Quarterly income reported by these companies is diluted because of these purchases.
    5. The income stated is increasing not because they’re making more money but because there are fewer shares.
    6. These companies collectively have reduced the overall number of shares in the open market by several trillion shares during this period.
    7. Excess money at 0 interest rates allowed the public traded companies to chase share prices to excessive levels. Too much money chasing too few shares, result bubble.
    8. Spy and Dow have systematically replaced low beta stocks with high beta stocks over the past several years elevating their composite prices.
    9. This market level reflects all of the above plus 4.9% employment rate which is more like actually 10%.
    10. Until now in addition to the above the only place to invest has been the market.
    11. I am a big Trump supporter and he will increase GDP which will be good for stocks down the road but not in the beginning.
    12. As this begins the market not the fed will push interest higher and together with higher GDP will give investors other places to invest.
    13. The dollar will rise resulting in lower earnings for many multi- national companies.
    14. From a technical point of view the SPY has two gaps in the chart one at 6/28 and 11/24 of 2016. It’s been my experience that those gaps will be filled meaning prices will return to those levels usually within one year.
    Thanks, Matt

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Jack,

      Thanks for providing some additional context on significant factors that could affect the future direction of the market. I agree that for short-term trading technical analysis can be more effective than fundamental analysis.

      As you alluded to in your comments, the current market environment is far from normal. That being said, I like your optimism regarding the likelihood that a “higher GDP will give investors other places to invest.”

      Regards,
      Matt

  • Jack C

    Hi Matt, My technical program gave a buy signal yesterday for the SPY daily chart. But this signal was only confirmed by one of the 2 confirming signals and so I have declined the signal. On the other hand it gave a sell signal for the weekly spy chart 3 weeks ago but also only confirmed by one of the two confirming signals. Based on the convergence for November 26 + I took the sell signal. My other technical analysis indicates strong resistance @212.94 so I am very long puts at this and until the 212.94 is broken. Comments, Thanks Jack C

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Jack,

      When assessing a market like the one we have right now, I think back to Martin Pring’s take on one of the simplest and most powerful axioms of technical analysis. Pring said something along the lines of the following: “The trend is your friend until it changes direction at which point in time it is no longer your friend.”

      With the market continuing to make new highs in recent days, there still appears to be a post-election bullish bias. This can make bearish bets less attractive until we start to see more signs of weakness. That being said, we are approaching the December 13-14 Fed meetings where we could see the first increase in rates in quite a while. The media has been talking about how the market is already pricing this in, but the market could get anxious as we approach this date and sell off in anticipation.

      Either way, I plan to watch the market closely around the November 26-29 cluster of turn dates to see if there is a discernible change in trend (e.g., a shift to a downward trend in anticipation of a possible Fed rate increase in mid-December).

      Regards,
      Matt

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Jack,

      Since the recent U.S. election investor sentiment seems to be much more bullish than it has been in the recent past. Frequently the markets appear to deliver the opposite of what is expected. With the upcoming cluster of Turn Dates on November 26-29, it wouldn’t surprise me if we start to see a pause and possible reversal in the bullish uptrend over the next few months.

      Regards,
      Matt

  • bebe rebozo

    The November concentration of bradley turn dates has my attention also. Several major equity indexes are in the process of tracing out an elliott wave pattern known as a rising ending diagonal. This is a wedge shaped formation and it could indicate a major reversal. Elliott says very little about time in his market observations. That is where astro observations can help. Early July 2016 possibly marked historic lows in 10 and 30 year US Treasury bond yields . The Bradley cluster almost nailed the lows to the day. The November concentration could well coincide with a major top in US equities. If it is a major turn date, it will be quite a year for ” Bradley ” !!!! {{As a side note….this is NOT an endorsement of the elliott wave. Pattern recognition can be useful, but it is by no means a basis for your investment decisions. }}

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Bebe,

      Thanks for your comment. Given the current bullish trend, a change in direction for the S&P 500 on the November 26-29 cluster of Turn Dates could come in the form of a pause or reversal in this uptrend. A possible catalayst could be the upcoming December Fed decision regarding interest rates.

      Regards,
      Matt

  • Gary Lutz

    Matt we have 3 Nov powerful turns in late Nov after the election.With Oct 19 probably marking a low do you think this Nov cluster of dates would mark a high?

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Gary,

      I will be looking to see how the S&P 500 performs as we approach the significant Turn Dates toward the end of November after the U.S. presidential election. Overall I see the standard Bradley Siderograph Turn Dates as representing more of a change in market direction than an explicit high or low.

      For example, if the current downturn picks up steam and we see a significant decline between now and then, these Turn Dates could coincide with a low in the S&P 500. Alternatively, it is possible that the market could rally after the election given that a significant uncertainty would be removed at that point in time. The market does not like uncertainty, so it wouldn’t surprise me if after the election the S&P 500 rallies. However, if this rally goes too far to fast, the Turn Dates toward the end of November could coincide with a high.

      I hope that helped!

      Regards,
      Matt

  • JackC

    Hi Matt, I am trying to evaluate the action of the SPY moving in opposite direction from the Siderograph during this time period. Please explain in your experience what this means and the most probable outcome for the next time frame of August 8th. Thanks,

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Jack,

      Thanks for your comment. The short answer is that the classic version of the Bradley Siderograph has “inversions.” An inversion is where a high in the Siderograph corresponds to a low Im the price of a security or vice versa. If you are interested in learning more about inversions, I encourage you to check out the section labeled “How to Use the Donald Bradley Siderograph” here:
      http://BradleySiderograph.com

      As you noted, so far it appears that the most recent Bradley Siderograph Turn Date was in the opposite direction of the S&P 500 (i.e., an “inversion”).

      Therefore, if we apply the same “inversion” concept to the Middle Terms Turn Date of 60/100 on August 8, on this date we would be more focused on identifying a possible change in direction in the market rather than anticipating a bottom of this date.

      I hope that helped!

      Regards,
      Matt

  • Bob MArcello

    Advanced Astro Dashboard – Individual Securities ($39/Each) – I am looking for Nokia but can’t seem to be able to located it.

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Bob,

      An Advanced Astro Dashboard for Nokia has not yet been created. It takes approximately 2-3 hours to create the Dashboard for each new security, which is why you won’t see a Dashboard listed for every possible security.

      Regards,
      Matt

  • thomas pizer

    i dont think i have microsoft excel…with my vista o/s..it appears ill need it for your spx and amazon (which seems to always turn before the market…smart money??)
    is it free or how to get it??

  • Bob Marcello

    when does Chiron return to Nokia’s incorporation chart.
    I would like to by the stock but am concerned about Chiron.
    Will be after it leaves – but not sure when it will be safe

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Bob,

      You could be waiting quite a while. Based on Bill Meridian’s Planetary Stock Trading Volume IV (page 299), Chiron was located at 6 degrees and 4 minutes Virgo in Nokia’s natal chart. It doesn’t look like Chiron will return there until the first half of August 2044.

      Regards,
      Matt

        • Bradley Siderograph

          Hi Bob,

          Typically the two are the same, but there are different ways of looking at it including (1) using the date of incorporation, (2) using the first trade date, (3) using the date of an especially significant corporate event, such as a merger, etc.

          Regards,
          Matt

  • Jack C

    Matt,
    Thanks for the reply, I’ll look at those videos. I don’t seem to be able to download the data stream. Thanks Jack

  • Jack Cooper

    Matt,
    I subscribed to the Bradley Model back in the 80’s when the data was provided on a floppy. If my memory serves me correctly the high or low as presented at that time had a3-5 window and if the data was indicating an opposite direction then it was called an inversion. I don’t see anything relating to inversion in your definitions. Please advice.
    I would like to say the information provided in the Siderograph is extremely well done and a 1000 % improvement over my previous Bradley Model.
    I just received your information but it seems to me that the July/16 on the S&P-500 has a convergence of data at that time so I assume this date represents a very high degree of probability.
    I tried to download updated data but I don’t seem to get a window allowing a download following the directions.
    Can you tell me how the indicator is derived?
    Thank you, Jack Cooper

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Jack,

      You are correct that there are “inversions” in the Bradley Siderograph developed by Donald Bradley in his book “Stock Market Prediction.”

      Overall the Siderograph is typically used to identify turning points (i.e., trend reversals) in the market over the medium- to long-term rather than predicting the exact movement of the market across time. Therefore, turning points in the Siderograph (including the Declinations) can indicate tops or bottoms.

      Therefore, if I see a turn in the Bradley Siderograph, the Middle Terms, Long Terms, or Declinations, I interpret these dates simply as Turn Dates rather than dates that will be necessarily be highs or lows.

      However, this is different from the new Advanced Astro Indicator, which is not intended to have “inversions.”
      http://bradleysiderograph.com/advanced-astro-indicator/

      For an additional description of inversions on the site, feel free to take a look at the section labeled “How to Use the Donald Bradley Siderograph” on the main page of the site:
      http://bradleysiderograph.com

      Also, if you haven’t done so already, I encourage you to watch the video located here:
      http://bradleysiderograph.com/overview-of-the-bradley-turn-dates/

      The Bradley Siderograph is derived using planetary aspects and declinations, and the new Advanced Astro Indicator is derived based on the historical correlation between each planetary aspect and declination and a a particular security. Here are a few links to pages that might be of interest to you:
      http://bradleysiderograph.com/formula/
      http://bradleysiderograph.com/major-planetary-aspects/
      http://bradleysiderograph.com/declinations/

      Regards,
      Matt

  • Imtiaz Syed

    Great work sir Matt. Appreciate the hard work you are doing. I am new to this so trying to learn as much as possible. I read the other comments and looks like the graph has correctly predicted the s&p since last turn date…

      • Imtiaz

        I do find them interesting especially when the correlations are above 90% for the past 6months. I see a September turn date which looks like a small blip in the declinations chart…
        What significance would that carry historically speaking?

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Jack,

      Thanks for your purchase and for your interest in the Advnced Astro Dashboard! Immediately after your purchase an automated email would have been sent to you with links to download your new Dashboards. If you have any follow up questions please feel free to shoot me a quick email.

      Thanks,
      Matt

  • Meron

    Hi All,
    The trend until now seems to be a down trend, based on the slope of the 50 MA of the major indexes (S&P, DOW, Nasdaq).
    The July-5th turn date seems to signify a low (with it’s July-5th gap down action). Compare that with Gold (GLD) which might be forming a top and will reverse down.

    Not sure if this analysis is correct, at first I thought the opposite – stocks will go down in July, and gold will go up. Very confusing.
    Any thoughts?

    Thanks!
    Meron

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Meron,

      Thanks for your perspective on this. Volume has been relatively strong on days when the S&P 500 rallied over the last week, and the S&P 500 closed near its high for the day yesterday. Overall we are in an uptrend from the June 27 low of approximately 2000 in the S&P 500. These factors could support your view that we could see further strength ahead for the S&P 500.

      The 2100-2120 level for the S&P 500 appears to be acting as resistance right now, and a strong breakout above this level could indicate further strength ahead.

      Either way, thanks for sharing your view — I appreciate your thoughts.

      Regards,
      Matt

  • bebe rebozo

    Bradley turn dates come and go. But this turn date has my attention, in part because of US Treasuries. Bonds have been in a bull market for 36 years and 10 year and 30 year rates are at all time lows. Matt any thoughts ?

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Bebe,

      Thanks for your comment. Right now we are in uncharted waters. After the .com boom and bust and the housing boom and bust, we are now in the midst of a global central bank balance sheet “boom.”

      We live in a somewhat backwards world where the release of poor economic numbers frequently results in a rally based on investors’ expectations of the Federal Reserve taking a more dovish stance as a result.

      Not until recently has it become relatively mainstream to seriously discuss sovereign defaults among developed nations. The paradigm shifted in 2011 with the Eurozone crisis and S&P’s downgrade of the United States’ credit rating to “AA+.”

      Recently I’ve heard relatively prominent thought leaders in the mainstream seriously discuss the likelihood that Japan could default on its debt within the next 5 years (e.g., with the central bank of Japan refinancing Japanese government bonds with a 100 year tenor and a zero coupon, which would effectively be a default).

      The central bank balance sheet boom has bought some time, but it is unclear what happens from here. As you mentioned, rates are at all time lows, and if they were to simply return close to normal historical levels the result on the global economy would not be pretty.

      Although it is still a very valuable tool, in my view the ability of fundamental analysis to allow an investment manager to achieve alpha is limited in this type of market environment. However, the dynamics of the current market could increase the value of technical analysis, astro analysis, and other forms of analyzing the markets.

      Regards,
      Matt

  • Randhawa

    Matt It’s amazing how the Turning Dates July1,5 are acting as a magnet. My question to you about the Gaps in the charts of S&P, Dow. Nasdaqe. Is there any data available in your data base where this type of volatility occurred in the past & the markets traded in such a huge swings, left lots of Gaps in the charts either going Up or Down and how often and after how long these Gaps have been filled?

  • Randhawa

    Matt, Though the turning dates are July1 & July5 but what’s your opinion on June24th’s market action. Its down day with heavy volume. Please comment on it in detail by keeping turn dates in your mind.
    Thanks in Advance.
    Randhawa

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Randhawa,

      Last Friday’s 3.6% decline in the S&P 500 following Brexit was by far the largest decrease since the low reached on February 11, 2016. It was also the 58th worst percentage decline in the history of the S&P 500 (i.e., out of 16,727 trading days total since the beginning of 1950). See the link below for a depiction of the relative size of this decline.

      http://bradleysiderograph.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Quantification-of-the-June-24-2016-Decline-in-the-SP-500.png

      However, this one decline is not by itself sufficient to prove that a trend change and a further decline in the S&P 500 is imminent.

      As noted in the picture linked to above, aside from Friday’s decline of 3.6%, the largest one day decline since the February 11, 2016 low (134 days ago) was 1.25%.

      Using historical price data for the S&P 500 going back to the beginning of 1950, I noted three similar time periods in the past where there was relatively little downside volatility (i.e., maximum 1 day declines ranging between 0.93% and 1.36%) in the 134 days leading up to a one day decline similar to Friday’s post-Brexit decline of 3.6% (i.e., 1 day declines ranging from 3.47% to 3.97%). (NOTE: The dates similar to last Friday’s decline are 4/18/1961, 10/25/1982, and 2/27/2007)

      I “standardized” the historical prices for the S&P 500 before and after three dates to see what historically has happened in the past when this type of situation has taken place. Click on the link below to see a graph that displays the results.

      http://bradleysiderograph.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/3-Historical-Dates-Similar-to-June-24-2016.png

      For the three historical dates similar to June 24, 2016, the S&P 500 experienced some relatively minor volatility for the subsequent 6 trading days, after which the market experienced a modest bullish bias.

      Therefore, if historical trends were to repeat, we could see some minor volatility between now and the July 4th weekend, after which we could see a modest bullish bias in the S&P 500 starting July 5th.

      However, if we were to see significant continued volatility (e.g., a second day where the S&P 500 decreases by more than 3%, it would start to build a better case that a change in trend is taking place.

      Therefore, to summarize, right now it is still to early to definitively make a call for a change in trend based on last Friday’s decline in the S&P 500. However, the performance of the S&P 500 this week could provide us with additional clues regarding its possible future direction.

      That being said, there are a couple of key Turn Dates coming up soon (i.e., July 1st and July 5th). Similar to fundamental and technical analysis, it is generally not possible to accurately identify a change in trend to an exact day. However, given these two upcoming Turn Dates I am personally watching the market more closely to be aware of any possible change in direction.

      Regards,
      Matt

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Randhawa,

      There is a weekend that falls in between the July 1 and July 5 Turn Dates, and in the U.S. there is also a trading holiday on the 4th for Independence Day. For example, after the market closes on Friday July 1st, markets for most securities will not open up again until the 4th or the 5th of July depending on where you live in the world.

      Therefore, I’m less focused on whether the turn will take place closer to July 1st or July 5th. Instead, I’m more focused on identifying other clues that the market could be changing direction (e.g., a strong percentage decrease in the S&P 500 accompanied by strong trading volume, weak trading volume on days where there is a gain in the S&P 500, etc.).

      Regards,
      Matt

  • vick

    Matt,
    Good morning, i am also located in virginia but on extreme western portion of virginia and sometime people forget that we have mountainous virginia also in state; as you know long neglected portion of the state. anyhow, i love your site and i watch video posting almost every weekend to learn little more at age 70+’ as you mention in your last video that July we may see greater correction and Bradley dates coincides with it
    do you still believe that way or has your thinking changed since February as markets have defied all datas and bad news and has kept marching up and up
    thanks,
    vick

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Vick,

      I’m glad you are enjoying the site and the videos. Here is a link to the latest video I just released that goes over the upcoming Turn Dates at the beginning of July 2016:
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rIrkhtXYED0
      I still anticipate that we could start seeing a leveling off and possibly a downtrend in the S&P 500 in the first half of July.
      You’re right that Virginia is quite diverse with urban life in Arlington close to DC, beach life in Virginia Beach, and mountains toward the western part of the state.

      Regards,
      Matt

  • amin valliani

    Excellent information. You really need to hide this information (but wait until I purchase this excel add in).
    Keep up the good work. Your forecasts seem to be in hand with other methods of calculating cycles.

    Please ad me to your email list.

    Amin

  • charles

    Hello Matt, just dropping a few lines to say thanx for the great work your doing and sharing it with others. I started studying the bradley model as a Frank Taucher student thanx for keeping some of his work alive.

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Charles,

      I enjoy putting this content together, and I appreciate you taking the time to leave your comment above. I hadn’t heard of Frank’s work before I saw your comment, but I’m going to look into it this evening. So far what I found about him looks pretty interesting.

      Thanks,
      Matt

  • Jeff York

    Hi Matt, you have done a great job on your Bradley model site. You are now my go to guy/guru for the Bradley model. I have been using Alfred Zimmels Bradley models for the past 10 years and find it uncanny accurate. What is are the differences between yours and his?
    thanks Matt!
    Best,
    Jeff York
    PivotalPivots.com

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Jeff,

      Thanks for your comment. The Bradley Siderograph charts on this site are based on the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory (“JPL”) Planetary and Lunar Ephemeris DE406. In my view here are a few items that could be leading to differences. I believe the last item mentioned below, Weighting, could be one of the driving forces behind any differences. (1) Rounding — Differences could arise in the intermediate calculations if numbers are rounded to a fewer or greater number of decimal places. I used 2 decimal places for rounding. (2) Time of Day and Location — I used noon for New York City. Using a different time of day/location could result in differences. (3) Orb of Aspect — Donald Bradley recommends using a 15 degree orb of aspect based on the sine curve, which he found to be more accurate than an “isosceles triangle” type of weighting. For this site I used the orb of aspect values published at the end of his book in Table IV: “Sine Curve Values for Natural Orb of Aspect.” Different orbs of aspect could lead to different results. (4) Weighting — In “Stock Market Prediction,” Donald Bradley wrote that the Long Terms “may be given considerably more weight by multiplying it 3, 4, or 5 times, depending upon choice after experimentation.” I used a multiplier of 5 for the Long Terms for this site, but the use of a 3, 4, or other multiplier could have contributed to a different result.

      Regards,
      Matt

      • none

        I been an observer of the Brady work since the late 1970’s, Peter Eliades’ channel 22 cailf. and others would mention the work time to time.

        This site as I watched it grown has done an excellent job in keeping the work alive andl much better than the few out there.

        Again, thank you and keep up the good work.

        None

  • Alex

    February 1-6 — There are nearly simultaneous turns in the Middle Terms, Long Terms, and Declinations during the first week in February 2016.

    Does it mean the market should go up as at this moment it is downward trend.

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Alex,

      As you mentioned the S&P 500 has been in a significant downtrend, so I anticipate the upcoming February 1-6 grouping of Turn Dates could result in the S&P 500 (1) stabilizing in price or (2) starting to increase in price. The Advanced Astro Indicator (see the graph above, which I just added) is pointing to a possible bottom in the S&P 500 between now and the beginning of February. To me this indicates that the S&P 500 is at or near a bottom between now and early February, and by late March we could see a strong Rally in the S&P 500. This year clearly started off with significant downside volatility, but it looks like the bulls could start to take over from the bears pretty soon.

      Regards,
      Matt

        • Bradley Siderograph

          Hi Sam,

          If you have not done so already, I encourage you to sign up for free email updates. Look for a form on the right side of the page. Last Sunday (January 31st) I sent out an email to this list that included the following update:

          “The S&P 500 has been increasing over the last week and a half in line with the increase in the Middle Terms as it leads up to its February 6th Turn Date. This leads me to believe that we could see a little more upside in the S&P 500 that could last approximately a week. This is also in line with the projections of the Advanced Astro Indicator.

          However, soon after the beginning of February there is a downturn in (1) the Middle Terms, (2) the Long Terms, and (3) the Advanced Astro Indicator. This tells me that we could see some weakness in the S&P 500 after the initial small rally mentioned above.

          By Mid-March there is a significant rapid upturn in (1) the Bradley Siderograph, (2) the Declinations, and (3) the Advanced Astro Indicator. Therefore, after the small upturn and pullback mentioned above, the S&P 500 could be rallying significantly by mid-March.”

          So far the S&P has trended as expected (i.e., up slightly for most of last week with the start of a downturn emerging on Friday of last week). Between now and mid-March there could be some volatility with a downward bias. The Middle Terms just peaked and are trending downward until March 11th. Also, around mid-March both the Bradley Siderograph and the Advanced Astro Indicator will be trending upward significantly. Therefore, I’m looking for a bottom in the S&P 500 between now and mid-March.

          Regards,
          Matt

          • John McAuliffe

            I already signed up for your service, but did not get the emails. I was hoping I could get your email commemts.

            Regards,

            John McAuliffe

            Hi John,

            Thanks for signing up for the email updates. I typically send out updates approximately once a month when I come across something that appears to be relevant and useful. After I saw your comment I pulled together some thoughts I had been meaning to share regarding Rate of Change and sent it out to email subscribers. I appreciate you taking the time to leave your comment, and going forward I will make more of an effort to send out emails more frequently.

            Regards,
            Matt

            NOTE: The comments can only go so many levels deep and we were at the limit, so my comment is typed inside of your comment.

  • Meron

    I too would like to share my appreciations to your work.
    One question – i was looking at the crude oil forecast – it seems to be the same as the s&p – exact dates and turns.
    Is there a glitch in the site?

    Thanks,
    Meron

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Hi Meron,

      Thanks for your comment. You are correct — there is only one Bradley Siderograph indicator, so it would be the same for all securities (i.e., for crude oil, the S&P, 500, etc.). However, securities do not all move together. For example, in 2015 shares of Facebook increased significantly whereas the price of crude oil decreased significantly. Therefore, it might make sense to customize an indicator to each security. With this in mind I developed the new Advanced Astro Indicator. Here is a link if you are curious to learn more: http://bradleysiderograph.com/advanced-astro-indicator/

      Thanks,
      Matt

  • Mohammed Javed Akhtar

    Wonderful Job Matt. Finally somebody’s taken the pains and the time off to make this wonderful study available to everyone. I run a paid service for Indian Stock Market, if you want I could give you free membership for the life. Just e-mail me.

    With Best Regards,

    Javed

  • bebe rebozo

    If the Siderograph is composed of the long tern -middle term and the declinations, why doesn’t the siderograph reflect the Feb. 1-6 cluster ? As far as i can tell, you have clearly taken Bradley to a new level Matt. Hope you like snow….Thank you !

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Bebe,

      From time to time there are unique configurations of the planets. However, for it to materially impact the Bradley Siderograph the planets would need to be in aspects with each other that collectively produce strong positive or negative values for the Bradley Siderograph. For example, if all of the planets are exactly 120 degrees apart from each other, they would all be in trine aspect to each other. The trine aspect is a favorable aspect, so you would see the Bradley Siderograph increase significantly leading up to this event. However, let’s take a look at the upcoming planetary cluster you mentioned in which, from Earth’s perspective, we see the Sun, Mercury, Venus, Jupiter, and Saturn all in the same section of the sky. This is an interesting sight to behold in person, but let’s remember that the Bradley Siderograph is based on a specific formula. The formula assumes some aspects between the planets are positive (e.g., a sextile) while it assumes others are negative (e.g., a square). During the cluster you mentioned the planets are relatively close to each other from Earth’s perspective, but not close enough to the aspects for which the Bradley Siderograph gives “credit” (i.e., aspects close to an exact conjunction, square, etc.) Therefore, sometimes there are interesting planetary configurations such as the one you mentioned that don’t show up in the Bradley Siderograph. This PDF file contains a depiction of the planets for the cluster you mentioned as well as the last Winter Solstice during which the planets also had an interesting heliocentric configuration: http://bradleysiderograph.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/Interesting_Planetary_Alignments.pdf

      Thanks for your comment.

      Matt

  • Conor Keane

    Donald Bradley was a genius who made a unique contribution to stock-market analysis. Now you are making yours by making this analysis available here. Congratulations and thanks a lot Matt.

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Thanks for asking – Dates with a “0/100” did not have a Bradley Bars Power associated with them, but I still wanted to include them because they looked like potentially relevant dates to watch. For example, January 5 is not really a “turn” date per se, but it represents a significant low in Bradley Siderograph. The weakness in global financial markets around January 5 make sense given that the Bradley Siderograph is at a significant low (i.e., because the level of the Bradley Siderograph is intended to reflect the general trend in market psychology). The Bradley Siderograph does not change much until the first half of March, when it starts to rise rapidly. Therefore, it would not surprise me if the S&P 500 rallies from mid-March through the end of April.

      Regards,
      Matt

  • rotrot

    the three charts above (Positive and Negative Elements Composing the 2016 Bradley Siderograph; 2016 – Positive Aspects and Declinations vs. the S&P 500; 2016 Negative Aspects and Declinations vs. the S&P 500) all have 2014 dates…are the charts correct?

    • Bradley Siderograph

      Rotrot,

      Good Observation. I’m in the process of putting together updated 2016 graphs for the Bradley Siderograph Turn Dates, which I plan to post by Thursday of this week (December 17). In the meantime I removed the three graphs you mentioned from the page.

      Thanks,
      Matt

      • Yani

        Interesting Astro Indicators! But looks like all the turn dates are the same, for example, 28 Sep, 29 Nov 2016 these two are OPEC meeting dates, shown as turn dates in almost all pages. I know the oil price are important, but if I pay for all dashboards, do I get the similar turn dates for everything?

        • Bradley Siderograph

          Hi Yani,

          The “classic” version of the Bradley Siderograph was described in Donald Bradley’s book called “Stock Market Prediction.” This indicator is the same for all securities, so you are correct that its Turn Dates would be the same across different securities (e.g., for the S&P 500, crude oil, etc.).

          In contrast, the Advanced Astro Indicator is based on indicators that are customized to each individual security. The Advanced Astro Indicator takes into account the extent to which each planetary aspect has historically corresponded to bullish or bearish behavior for the security in question.

          Regards,
          Matt